In my last post a week ago, I noted the shortening of doubling times for confirmed cases of COVID-19, starting May 25. In that week, total confirmed cases have risen from 29,852 to 40,924. The daily percentage increase has varied between a low of 2.84% and a high of 6.52%. Another measure of growth in cases that smooths out daily bumps is the 7-day moving average. This is how it has looked over the last month:
05/27: 338
06/03: 710
06/10: 1,090
06/17: 1,581
Today, June 17, Arizona ranks #18 in total cases; #4 in new cases; #20 in cases/capita. #19 in total deaths; and #23 in deaths/capita. Rising numbers of confirmed cases can sometimes be attributed in part to increased testing. That has not been a factor over the last couple of weeks. A disturbing sign is the growing percentage of positive tests:
Covid Act Now’s chart provides several indicators:
In future posts, I’ll be looking at other states in which Alcor has many members and in which the disease is growing.
–Max More
Ambassador and President Emeritus, Alcor Foundation